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Post by acutrackfan on Jan 13, 2022 10:19:24 GMT -6
My problem was whipping out a quick post -- I wrote 70-70% instead of 60-70% as intended. As Oscar notes above, SHSU would have very little, if any chance of beating the top 50 schools on the Massey scale or 38% of the list. That indicates that SHSU would have some chance against the lower 62% of the Massey list - still falling within my intended stated range.
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Post by wildcatter on Jan 13, 2022 10:56:21 GMT -6
I imagine Sam could have been top half of C-USA this year with the scholarship discrepancy. App St and Coastal Carolina regularly flirt with being in the top 25 after transitioning to FBS, but that’s always going to be their peak. Good luck to Sam if that’s the goal.
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Post by kjmike1956 on Jan 14, 2022 10:53:18 GMT -6
If we played this schedule last year we would have probably gone 6-5 with victories against Lamar, Utah Tech (Dixie St), Prairie View A&M, Western New Mexico, Southern Utah and Tarleton. Losses would have been to Sam Houston St, Missouri, SFA, Incarnate Word and North Dakota.
With that schedule Dorrell might still be our coach.
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Post by TNcatman on Jan 14, 2022 11:38:29 GMT -6
If we played this schedule last year we would have probably gone 6-5 with victories against Lamar, Utah Tech (Dixie St), Prairie View A&M, Western New Mexico, Southern Utah and Tarleton. Losses would have been to Sam Houston St, Missouri, SFA, Incarnate Word and North Dakota. With that schedule Dorrell might still be our coach. Then thank goodness we didn't have that schedule.
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Post by OscarWildeCat, Admin on Mar 3, 2022 6:18:29 GMT -6
FYI, here is a good representation of payouts by FBS schools to FCS opponents. The ACU game vs Missouri isn’t included. The range for FCS schools with SEC opponents is from 475 to 750K. Payouts to FBS teams are about double. herosports.com/2022-fcs-vs-fbs-payouts-bzbz/
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Post by Evan from KTXS on Mar 4, 2022 17:23:18 GMT -6
I've got the game contract between ACU and Missouri.
It says ACU will get $575K for the game.
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Post by OscarWildeCat, Admin on Mar 4, 2022 17:41:17 GMT -6
I've got the game contract between ACU and Missouri. It says ACU will get $575K for the game. Thank you. That’s probably a little above average for a FCS-SEC hame.
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Post by Evan from KTXS on Mar 6, 2022 15:44:12 GMT -6
I've got the game contract between ACU and Missouri. It says ACU will get $575K for the game. Thank you. That’s probably a little above average for a FCS-SEC hame.
It is above average, and may be the most ACU has ever gotten for a guarantee game.
Here's the other SEC games for reference
2019 @ Mississippi State was $500K
2023 @ Texas A&M is supposed to $550K plus $15K for A&M changing the date of the game
2028 @ Texas A&M is supposed to be $600K
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Post by acutrackfan on Mar 6, 2022 19:20:19 GMT -6
Tech is $250k. Lee was in such a hurry to get regional FBS schools that he took bottom dollar. Allen Ward tried to talk to Hocutt about a raise, but Kirby knew that he had gotten a good deal and was determined to make us hold to the contract.
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Post by Evan from KTXS on Mar 6, 2022 23:25:33 GMT -6
Tech is $250k. Lee was in such a hurry to get regional FBS schools that he took bottom dollar. Allen Ward tried to talk to Hocutt about a raise, but Kirby knew that he had gotten a good deal and was determined to make us hold to the contract.
Are you sure? This report says both games at Texas Tech are for $375K
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Post by acutrackfan on Mar 7, 2022 5:26:57 GMT -6
That would be great -- maybe Allen WAS able to get Tech to raise the ante. I would certainly use the above info, since they would probably be based on FOIA's.
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Post by mavsman53 on Mar 7, 2022 10:05:14 GMT -6
First day of Spring Ball today!
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Post by OscarWildeCat, Admin on Jun 2, 2022 8:15:17 GMT -6
I care more about how ACU will do this year than Sam Houston. On paper the Cats should be favored or a toss up in 6 games- Lamar, Prairie View, Western New Mexico, Tarleton and the two Utah schools.
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Post by Outsider on Jun 2, 2022 13:38:25 GMT -6
I care more about how ACU will do this year than Sam Houston. On paper the Cats should be favored or a toss up in 6 games- Lamar, Prairie View, Western New Mexico, Tarleton and the two Utah schools. This Fall's football theme will be unproven potential. I don't think 6 wins are out of the question, even 7 wins on paper. With everything so new though, and much of the talent coming in late, the unproven cohesiveness and lack of time together will play into the season as a factor: 1) if the transfers prove to be ready, 2) if the team gels well quickly, 3) if they can get the schemes down quickly, as well as 4) if the success and skills of the new coaches comes to fruition we should be in decent shape. Until then, I am not sure I will predict 6 wins yet. I still look forward to watching it and to our progress. I realize my 4 points are a lot and fairly general in nature. They can be said of most any team. Still, with a team that has so much newness, I believe they are a decent surface assessment of where we are at right now. I am not sure we know enough to get into any serious specific analysis.
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Post by OscarWildeCat, Admin on Jun 3, 2022 5:53:28 GMT -6
I care more about how ACU will do this year than Sam Houston. On paper the Cats should be favored or a toss up in 6 games- Lamar, Prairie View, Western New Mexico, Tarleton and the two Utah schools. This Fall's football theme will be unproven potential. I don't think 6 wins are out of the question, even 7 wins on paper. With everything so new though, and much of the talent coming in late, the unproven cohesiveness and lack of time together will play into the season as a factor: 1) if the transfers prove to be ready, 2) if the team gels well quickly, 3) if they can get the schemes down quickly, as well as 4) if the success and skills of the new coaches comes to fruition we should be in decent shape. Until then, I am not sure I will predict 6 wins yet. I still look forward to watching it and to our progress. I realize my 4 points are a lot and fairly general in nature. They can be said of most any team. Still, with a team that has so much newness, I believe they are a decent surface assessment of where we are at right now. I am not sure we know enough to get into any serious specific analysis. I did a very rough take- Missouri is a P5 conference . Almost no chance here. Sam Houston. Is transitioning from FCS to FBS and will be closer to 85 scholarship players than 63. Not a lot of hope here. SFA and UIW are both preseason Top 25 teams and have filled positions of need through the portal. Maybe we could upset one the these teams, but not likely for the reasons you listed. UND. A mid tier team from the Missouri Valley, the SEC of the FCS. If they were in the WAC they would be the preseason favorite, and we play them on the road. That leaves 6 games against teams that aren’t power houses. Even with the constraints and uncertainties you identify, we should be competitive. If everything falls together quickly, we might even pull off an upset against the more experienced teams but realistically for this year 6 W’s seems doable.
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