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Post by Cap'n on Nov 6, 2022 16:56:06 GMT -6
EKU was on top of the WAC-ASUN power rankings last week. They are now tied for first in the ASUN and have one more “conference” games to play against Kennesaw. We were in first place in the WAC but were third behind SFA and Tarleton in the power rankings.
This should change this week but we aren’t overtaking EKU. Or Austin Peay for that matter.
So by my reckoning, EKU has to lose to Kennesaw and we have to beat SFA to have an chance. But it’s a long shot even so.
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Post by jCat on Nov 7, 2022 6:06:00 GMT -6
Follow this link to see the detailed fine print on calculating WAC-ASUN power rankings. For the NCAA's summary of AQ scenarios, see this link. Here's the projection: "The winner of Week 12's Stephen F. Austin at Abilene Christian game wins the WAC title and will be compared to the ASUN champion for the auto-bid." It would greatly help the WAC if SFA took down Central Arkansas this week. And if ACU beats Sam (who beat EKU), that would have to close the rankings gap. But as others have noted EKU is in the driver's seat for the moment.
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Post by Outsider on Nov 7, 2022 8:18:20 GMT -6
A big question still remains if the WAC-ASUN will get at least one At-Large on top of the AQ.
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Post by Cap'n on Nov 8, 2022 18:43:34 GMT -6
EKU finishes with J State and Kennesaw. As it turns out, both the JSU v EKU and ACU v SHSU count toward the power ranking even though they do not count in the standings.
So beating Sam is just as important as beating SFA. But beating SFA gives us the outright WAC title and a chance if an at-large comes this way.
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Post by OscarWildeCat, Admin on Nov 8, 2022 19:40:09 GMT -6
EKU finishes with J State and Kennesaw. As it turns out, both the JSU v EKU and ACU v SHSU count toward the power ranking even though they do not count in the standings. So beating Sam is just as important as beating SFA. But beating SFA gives us the outright WAC title and a chance if an at-large comes this way. Games against J State or Sam only count toward power ranking if they are wins. A loss does not. ‘FBS or FBS reclassifying team: A victory shall be a countable game and count as one win; a loss shall not be a countable game; FBS wins will ONLY add to a team’s WP but are not part of the database for OWP or OOWP”
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Post by Outsider on Nov 8, 2022 20:05:05 GMT -6
EKU finishes with J State and Kennesaw. As it turns out, both the JSU v EKU and ACU v SHSU count toward the power ranking even though they do not count in the standings. So beating Sam is just as important as beating SFA. But beating SFA gives us the outright WAC title and a chance if an at-large comes this way. Games against J State or Sam only count toward power ranking if they are wins. A loss does not. ‘FBS or FBS reclassifying team: A victory shall be a countable game and count as one win; a loss shall not be a countable game; FBS wins will ONLY add to a team’s WP but are not part of the database for OWP or OOWP” But at this point we really need every win point we can get.
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Post by OscarWildeCat, Admin on Nov 8, 2022 20:08:02 GMT -6
Games against J State or Sam only count toward power ranking if they are wins. A loss does not. ‘FBS or FBS reclassifying team: A victory shall be a countable game and count as one win; a loss shall not be a countable game; FBS wins will ONLY add to a team’s WP but are not part of the database for OWP or OOWP” But at this point we really need every win point we can get. Agreed. It wouldn’t hurt for Kennesaw to beat EKU as well. That would make UCA the ASUN rep, with a much lower power poll rating that EKU.
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Post by kjmike1956 on Nov 8, 2022 22:26:08 GMT -6
Games on 11-12-22
WAC games
at Sam Houston St 9.5 ACU at Utah Tech 1.5 Tarleton St Central Arkansas 0.5 at SFA at Southern Utah 42.5 Lincoln CA
A-SUN games
Austin Peay 1.5 at Kennesaw St at Jacksonville St 3.5 Eastern Kentucky at North Alabama 3.5 Tennessee Tech
We need to pull for Jacksonville St in addition to beating Sam Houston St
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Post by OscarWildeCat, Admin on Nov 9, 2022 0:39:09 GMT -6
Games on 11-12-22 WAC games at Sam Houston St 9.5 ACU at Utah Tech 1.5 Tarleton St Central Arkansas 0.5 at SFA at Southern Utah 42.5 Lincoln CA A-SUN games Austin Peay 1.5 at Kennesaw St at Jacksonville St 3.5 Eastern Kentucky at North Alabama 3.5 Tennessee Tech We need to pull for Jacksonville St in addition to beating Sam Houston St Do we pull for UCA or SFA? They are both rivals for the autobid.
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Post by kjmike1956 on Nov 9, 2022 7:56:43 GMT -6
Games on 11-12-22 WAC games at Sam Houston St 9.5 ACU at Utah Tech 1.5 Tarleton St Central Arkansas 0.5 at SFA at Southern Utah 42.5 Lincoln CA A-SUN games Austin Peay 1.5 at Kennesaw St at Jacksonville St 3.5 Eastern Kentucky at North Alabama 3.5 Tennessee Tech We need to pull for Jacksonville St in addition to beating Sam Houston St Do we pull for UCA or SFA? They are both rivals for the autobid. I would say we pull for SFA. If we do not beat SFA we are out of the running for bid anyway. If SFA beats UCA and we beat SFA it will help our strength of schedule and our chance at a bid.
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Post by Cap'n on Nov 10, 2022 18:53:01 GMT -6
EKU finishes with J State and Kennesaw. As it turns out, both the JSU v EKU and ACU v SHSU count toward the power ranking even though they do not count in the standings. So beating Sam is just as important as beating SFA. But beating SFA gives us the outright WAC title and a chance if an at-large comes this way. Games against J State or Sam only count toward power ranking if they are wins. A loss does not. ‘FBS or FBS reclassifying team: A victory shall be a countable game and count as one win; a loss shall not be a countable game; FBS wins will ONLY add to a team’s WP but are not part of the database for OWP or OOWP” Thanks for clarifying that.
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Post by kjmike1956 on Nov 11, 2022 16:17:59 GMT -6
My picks for WAC games this week are
ACU over Sam Houston St with the 9.5 points Tarleton St over Utah Tech with the 1.5 points SFA over Central Arkansas with the 0.5 points Lincoln CA over Southern Utah with the 42.5 points
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Post by Cap'n on Nov 12, 2022 18:32:00 GMT -6
UTech beats TSU UCA up by 27 going into the 4th South Utah wins 55-0.
Not looking good, Mike. But you nailed the ACU game.
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Post by bogeyman on Nov 12, 2022 19:14:01 GMT -6
Jacksonville St. slaughtered Eastern Kentucky.
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Post by kjmike1956 on Nov 12, 2022 19:15:57 GMT -6
UTech beats TSU UCA up by 27 going into the 4th South Utah wins 55-0. Not looking good, Mike. But you nailed the ACU game. If ACU wins, I don't mind losing all the rest.
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